Forecast of the trend of medicinal materials in 2018: overall shock adjustment

[market analysis of chinapharma.com] on June 26, the Ministry of Commerce issued the 2017 market analysis report on the circulation of traditional Chinese medicine (hereinafter referred to as the report), which analyzed the domestic market and import and export trade market of traditional Chinese medicine in 2017, and looked forward to the development trend of the circulation of traditional Chinese medicine In 2017, the price of traditional Chinese medicine showed a small dynamic trend According to the report, the domestic market price of traditional Chinese medicine remained stable as a whole in 2017, and the price fluctuation of varieties narrowed Specifically, among the 741 varieties of traditional Chinese medicine that are common in the circulation market of traditional Chinese medicine, the prices of 220 varieties rose, 334 varieties remained the same, and 187 varieties fell Compared with 2016, in 2017, the number of price rising varieties decreased by 7%, the number of price flat varieties decreased by 12%, the total number of price rising and flat varieties decreased by 10%, and the number of price falling varieties increased by 48% In 2020, the planting area of traditional Chinese medicine will exceed 66.2 million mu As we all know, since 2017, Chinese medicine policies have been issued intensively, especially the implementation of Chinese medicine law and the release of poverty alleviation action plan of traditional Chinese medicine industry (2017-2020), bringing new opportunities for the development of traditional Chinese medicine industry Against this background, the supply scale of Chinese herbal medicines has continued to expand, the resources of circulation links have been optimized and upgraded, intensive processing methods have been highlighted, and the "Internet plus" new trade mode has springing up, and the circulation market of Chinese herbal medicines has been quickening At the same time, with the continuous strengthening of national support for the Chinese medicine industry, the cultivation of Chinese medicine is also encouraged by policies, the supply of family varieties continues to increase, and the planting area of Chinese medicine has increased significantly It is estimated that by 2020, the planting area of traditional Chinese medicine will exceed 66.2 million mu (including the planting area of forest land), and the supply of planting varieties may further increase The report shows that in 2017, the development trend of drug and food homologous varieties is strong, and the total demand growth rate of related varieties is 9.5% With the continuous strengthening of the supervision of Chinese herbal pieces, more and more enterprises have begun to transform the layout of drug and food homologous products, resulting in the increasing sales of such herbal medicines Among them, according to the statistics of tiandi.com, ginseng, notoginseng, wolfberry fruit, flower tea and other medicine and food homologous varieties have maintained a sales increase of more than 8% in the past two years The import and export trade of traditional Chinese medicine According to the report, in 2017, the export volume of traditional Chinese medicine was 223500 tons, up 9.51% year on year, and the export volume of traditional Chinese medicine was 1.139 billion US dollars, down 2.23% year on year China imported 91000 tons of traditional Chinese medicine, an increase of 13.62% on a year-on-year basis, with a total import volume of 261 million US dollars, an increase of 29.69% on a year-on-year basis The overall quality of Chinese export medicinal materials continued to improve Among them, the one belt, one road policy has promoted the growth of Chinese herbal medicines exports In 2017, one belt, one road, along the belt of the Chinese and Western medicines, showed a rapid growth momentum According to the report on the development trend of circulation of traditional Chinese medicine, it is expected that the trend of medicine in 2018 will be similar to that in 2015, with overall adjustment and shock Among them, it is difficult to be optimistic about the price of large family varieties, while the price of small, wild and animal varieties is expected to go up It is worth noting that in recent years, with the increasing supervision of relevant departments on the market of traditional Chinese medicine, the market has begun to rectify on a large scale, and the demand for traditional Chinese medicine will further increase In addition, with the formation of cold chain distribution system of Chinese medicine, cold chain distribution business of fresh Chinese medicine will gradually become a new growth point of Chinese medicine circulation.