Hong Kong added 34,466 new cases in a single day, with nearly 500 deaths in this round, yet to peak!

On the 25th, there were 10,010 new cases and 47 deaths; on the 26th, 17,063 new cases and 66 deaths; on the 27th, 26,026 new cases and 83 deaths; on the 28th, there were 34,466 new cases
.

Earlier, Hong Kong respiratory specialist Liang Zichao predicted that "there will be more than 10,000 new cases in a single day in two weeks", which is a prophecy

On the 25th, there were 10,010 new cases and 47 deaths; on the 26th, 17,063 new cases and 66 deaths; on the 27th, 26,026 new cases and 83 deaths; on the 28th, there were 34,466 new cases
.
Earlier, Hong Kong respiratory specialist Liang Zichao predicted that "there will be more than 10,000 new cases in a single day in two weeks", which is a prophecy .
Hong Kong residents wearing masks in the park (Source: Xinhuanet) After the number of confirmed cases in Hong Kong exceeded 10,000 in a single day, the number of new people increased from 10,000 to 30,000 in just 4 days, and has not yet "peaked" .
So far, there have been 170,000 confirmed cases and more than 500 deaths in this round of the epidemic .
According to the preliminary forecast of Lanzhou University's " New Coronary Pneumonia Epidemic Global Prediction System", the current round of the epidemic in Hong Kong is expected to be initially controlled around the end of May 2022, with an estimated cumulative infection of about 361,000 new coronary pneumonia infections (269,000-445,000) .
But judging from the current situation, this forecast is too optimistic .
As can be seen from the figure below, it is predicted that Hong Kong's single-day new growth peaked in early March, with about 5,000 people, but the current data has more than 6 times .
Lanzhou University's forecast of the outbreak of new coronary pneumonia in Hong Kong in 2022.
1 Why is the number of confirmed cases in Hong Kong rising sharply in such a short period of time? Feng Zijian, an expert who participated in guiding the mainland's aid to Hong Kong's anti-epidemic work, said in an interview that "the fifth wave of the epidemic in Hong Kong is currently in a period of rapid spread and accelerated rise .
" There are too many transmission chains in the community, and cases will continue to spread .
According to the team of Professor Leung Cheuk-wai of the University of Hong Kong, the epidemic will peak around mid-March .
In the near future, the number of daily confirmed cases will continue to rise 
.
In addition, the surge in confirmed cases is related to the SAR government's updated testing methods .
Due to the limited nucleic acid detection capacity, the Hong Kong SAR government changed the original statistical diagnosis strategy on the 25th , announcing that "citizens who are positive in the rapid test do not need to be re-tested for nucleic acid, and they can be regarded as confirmed cases for follow-up .
" Ho Bailiang, director of the Center for Infection and Infectious Diseases at the University of Hong Kong, said that after the establishment of an electronic reporting platform, the number of confirmed diagnoses will increase significantly .
The good news is that, based on the establishment of the platform, the Hong Kong government can grasp the age group of patients, whether they have been vaccinated or not, and assist in analysis and statistics, which can help arrange treatment facilities .
The use of rapid antigen testing is inevitable driven by the epidemic situation in Hong Kong.
However, compared with nucleic acid testing, rapid antigen testing has some shortcomings—the sensitivity and accuracy are not high, and there will be misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis .
"False negatives" occur from time to time, that is, the test person may be infected but is in the incubation period or early stage of infection, and the rapid antigen test will still judge him as negative .
Rapid Antigen Test Kits If citizens fully trust the results of the rapid antigen test and feel safe just because of a single negative result, they may take it lightly and lead to further spread of the virus .
Therefore, in the case of ability, the national nucleic acid test is still the first choice .
The surge in the number of confirmed cases in recent days has put a lot of pressure on Hong Kong's medical system.
Medical resources are running low, and the central government's support is urgent .
It is reported that Liang Wannian, head of the expert group of the National Health Commission's New Coronary Pneumonia Epidemic Response Leading Group, went to Hong Kong on the 28th to assist the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region government in fighting the epidemic .
He is also the highest-level mainland expert who has supported Hong Kong in fighting the epidemic so far.
 
 
      
 .
Local news reports show that Hong Kong hospitals are full, with a large number of confirmed patients waiting in the open .
The medical resources are obviously not enough, and the local beds cannot be accommodated, so there is an urgent need to increase the beds .
In order to solve related problems, the construction of 8 makeshift hospitals assisted by the mainland is in full swing .
The makeshift hospital under construction (Source: CCTV News) Li Gang, former director of the Department of Surgical Intensive Care (SICU) of the China-Japan Friendship Hospital and member of the new crown pneumonia epidemic prevention and control expert group, said in an interview with reporters, "There are some people in the makeshift hospital.
There are a large number of hospital beds, and the ward is relatively simple, and it mainly accommodates patients who need to be quarantined, as well as patients with mild and moderate symptoms .
The patients who should be hospitalized are admitted to the hospital as soon as possible, early detection and early treatment, and community transmission can be cut off, which can reduce panic .
" After the Fangcang shelter hospital is established, more public hospital resources will be given to moderate to severe patients, which may alleviate the current high death toll in Hong Kong .
Feng Zijian introduced that the Hong Kong Hospital Authority is currently working hard to optimize and improve the evaluation, triage and referral process of patients, and to distinguish asymptomatic infected patients, generally mild patients and patients with severe risk and need active medical intervention.
Carry out home isolation, centralized isolation treatment and hospitalization, and prioritize the use of valuable medical resources to patients who need treatment most .
In addition to the assistance of medical resources, the mainland has also established a nucleic acid sampling support team of about 9,000 people , and has started training.
They can go to Hong Kong to work at any time according to the needs of the SAR government .
Li Dachuan, deputy director of the National Health and Medical Commission's Medical Administration and Medical Administration Bureau, who leads the special class for testing and medical work, revealed in an interview with Hong Kong media on the 27th, "When Hong Kong needs it, the support team will be dispatched .
If Guangdong's strength is not enough, You can also choose some experienced and capable medical staff from the surrounding provinces who understand Cantonese or English better .
"    
 
 
  Li Dachuan of the Guangzhou "Falcon" dural membrane laboratory said that if the Hong Kong government requests, the samples can also be sent to Guangdong Province for testing, so that the daily testing volume can reach 1.
2 to 1.
5 million times , which is much higher than the previous daily test in Hong Kong.
Up to 300,000 times .
Coupled with the use of rapid antigen testing, it is an "acceptable" epidemic prevention model for Hong Kong at this stage .
In the past week, medical supplies from the mainland to Hong Kong have been rapidly distributed, including 14 million rapid antigen test kits, 11 million N95 and KN95 masks, and 350,000 boxes of anti-epidemic Chinese medicine donated by the mainland .
In addition to medical supplies, the supply of daily necessities in Hong Kong is also generally stable, with Shenzhen accounting for about 80% of the Hong Kong market .
The epidemic situation in Hong Kong suddenly deteriorated in a short period of time, which also brought a lot of epidemic prevention pressure to Shenzhen across the river .
When one side is in trouble, all sides support .
Hong Kong's epidemic prevention is not only a matter of Hong Kong residents, nor is it only a matter of neighboring Guangdong Province, but the cohesion of the entire country .
As Hong Kong Financial Secretary Chen Maobo said on the 27th, "with the support of the central government, the goal of the SAR government is to contain the epidemic within two months .
" We hope that Hong Kong can get out of the shadow of the new crown virus as soon as possible .
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