How to see the price of New Year's food dive.

Temperatures have risen steadily since the Lantern Festival, but for thousands of vegetable vendors, the winter seems to be just beginning.
vegetable business this year is very difficult to do
" to do more than 20 years of vegetable business, this year's worst! I lost four and a hundred thousand yuan these days after the Spring Festival. "In the early hours of February 13th, in The Huinon Gate, a wholesale market for agricultural and sideline products in Beijing's Xinfayuan, the distributor Yan Guangcheng poured bitter water on reporters while unloading his car.
, the hometown of Yan Guangcheng, is one of the main winter vegetable producing areas in China. He rented two 25-ton trucks and shipped them from his hometown to Beijing for sale. Land purchase price of 0.8 yuan per catty, 35,000 yuan per trip freight, plus other expenses, the cost price reached 1.9 yuan per catty, who knows the new land market price of only 1.1 yuan per catty.
not just beans, other vegetables also dived at the same price. According to Yao Fengyi, a round eggplant wholesaler from the Northeast, the price of a round eggplant last year was in short supply at 4 yuan a pound, and now 1.5 yuan a pound is still not sellable.
" February 10, the weighted average price of vegetables per kilogram in Xinfayuan Market was 1.20 yuan, down 12% from 1.36 yuan on February 3, down 32% from 1.78 yuan in the same period last year. Among them, beans fell 25% month-on-month, down 57% year-on-year, peppers fell 31% month-on-month, down 40% year-on-year, and tomatoes fell 31% month-on-month and 41% year-on-year, said Liu Tong, manager of the statistics department of the wholesale agricultural and by-products market in Xinfa.
beijing food prices are depressed, what about the whole country? Kong Xiangtao, chief expert in vegetable market monitoring and early warning at the Ministry of Agriculture, said that since last winter, the price of vegetables nationwide has been lower than in the same period last year. The price of vegetables in the first month continued the pre-holiday decline. Monitoring data show that the overall wholesale average price of 28 key vegetables in the month was 2.25 yuan per kilogram, down 6% from the same period last year. By the first day of the Lantern Festival, the average price had fallen by 12%.
the price of vegetables fell, the distributor lost money, can only pressure the price of vegetable farmers. The purchase price of 0.8 yuan per kilogram of beans, in the view of Yan Guangcheng can no longer be pressed, because in his hometown to hire people to pick, each catty also want eight or nine cents of work money.
because of sales difficulties, dealers are afraid to even receive goods. "Even 1.1 yuan has not been collected these days." Huang Zehai, a farmer's agent in Xinpo village in The town of Fro, Hainan Province, told reporters that the price of peppers last year was 7 yuan per kilogram of land, this year only 1.1 yuan, vegetable farmers to lose 23,000 yuan per acre.
cheap, consumers welcome, stall vendors make more money? On the morning of February 14th, Guo Qingchun, a vegetable vendor from Zhoukou, Henan Province, was guarding a pile of round eggplants at a farmers' market near Tao Ranting Park in Beijing's Xicheng District. Before the Spring Festival, he purchased a batch of high-class round eggplants from the new place according to 5 yuan per kilogram, who knows the price all the way down, only to go with the market 3 yuan sale. When more than ten years of vegetable vendors Guo Qingchun helplessly said: "This year the price of vegetables fell ferociously, business is really not good to do!" "
oversupply is the main reason for the low price
the price of vegetables has risen and fallen, which is normal, but the recent downturn in food prices to this point, and not normal. Some experts pointed out that the vegetable market oversupply is the main reason.
month, most of the listed vegetables come from the southern base county and facilities vegetable north of the main production county. Since last winter, most parts of China are warmer than usual, especially in the north, where temperatures have reached record highs for the same period. Zhou Xiangyang, a vegetable expert at the Agricultural Information Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, told reporters that warm weather had boosted vegetable harvests in northern facilities. Affected by the typhoon, Guangdong and other southern provinces vegetable picking period from mid-December last year to mid-to-late January this year, with Hainan winter and spring melon vegetables and northern facilities vegetable harvest overlap, forming a peak market, there is a pattern of oversupply, prices are inevitable.
further analysis, it is the vegetable cultivation area continues to increase significantly, serious overcapacity. Yao Fengyi in Hainan to rent land to plant round eggplant, the previous plant 200 acres, last year expanded to 500 acres. Like him to rent land to plant a lot of vegetables, hundreds of acres are less, most of them are thousands of acres. Not only that, because of the low yield of growing grain, many places encourage farmers to change their vegetables. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the country planted 22 million hectares of vegetables in 2015, up 32% from 16.639 million hectares in 2006. Compared with the short-term rapid growth of vegetable supply, the total population and consumption changes are not large, the output far exceeds consumption, the price of vegetables "falling and falling" is also in line with the law of the market.
in fact, the prices of essential eggs, pork and other agricultural products in the basket are also trending. After the Lantern Festival, the wholesale price of eggs in Xinfayuan market reached 2.28 yuan a kilogram, down 20% from before the Spring Festival, down 46% from the same period last year and the lowest in the same period in nearly nine years. The reason for this is overcapacity. Pork price risks are accumulating, and from years of experience, la moon is the strongest demand and highest price period of the year, but the weighted average price of pork in the new market in January was 14% lower than in May last year. Industry insiders warn: the national pork prices have entered a down cycle.
supply-side structural reform should make efforts
agricultural prices and the livelihood of tens of millions of farmers are closely related to the lives of the vast number of consumers. In recent years, the roller coaster of agricultural products has not only troubled producers and distributors, but also affected consumers. How to balance the supply and demand of agricultural products, avoid large price fluctuations, so that all the participating links to benefit steadily, so that consumers get benefits, is an urgent problem to be solved.
the lettuce area of Xinfa Market, Mei Laos four is famous for his gambling. Last year the lettuce market is good, the wholesale price per catty sold to 6 yuan, he placed an order to Hebei Gu'an vegetable farmers, according to each seedling 4 yuan to book more than 10,000 big shed lettuce. Who knows in December after a large number of southern lettuce market, the price of lettuce in xinfa land fell non-stop, now the wholesale price per catty is only 1.5 yuan. Mei Lao four consecutive shouts: "Lost miserable!" It's a tragedy! "
prices of food deep down, cheap to buy food, the immediate look to reduce the burden on consumers, in the long run, it seriously affects the people's table. Liu Tong said: "The general loss of vegetable farmers, in the coming year will be less or even abandoned, the result is a shortage of supply, prices skyrocketed." The
farmers to grow vegetables is often determined by the market price of the past year. In 2016, the overall high level of vegetable prices in China, the Ministry of Agriculture focused on monitoring the 28 kinds of vegetables annual wholesale average price rose 12% YoY, the highest level in the past seven years. Kong said that because of the interest-driven, the enthusiasm to expand the species is very high. Since the Spring Festival, the trend of vegetable prices, is to give people once again sounded the alarm.
in order to solve the difficulties of agricultural products sales, the Ministry of Commerce in recent years with the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Agriculture in the country to carry out "farm super docking", to smooth sales, reduce costs is very meaningful, but supermarkets are not the main channel for vegetable sales. Statistics show that 70 per cent of vegetable sales rely on farmers' markets to get on the consumer table. It can be seen that "farm super docking" can alleviate the difficulties of agricultural products sales, but can not solve the problem of slow sales, low prices.
view, in order to fundamentally solve the problem of vegetable supply and demand imbalance, price ups and downs, we must start with the structural reform on the supply side, and avoid the structural oversupply and supply shortage from the macro level.
This year's Central Document No. 1 stressed:
The main contradictions in agriculture have changed from insufficient aggregates to structural contradictions, highlighted by the co-existing of phased oversupply and insufficient supply, and the main aspects of the contradictions are on the supply side." "This argument is also in line with vegetable production. In 2014, China's annual vegetable production of more than 700 million tons, per capita annual share of more than 1000 jin, are ranked first in the world. China's vegetable production and sales now account for more than 50% of the global market share, but the supply of low-end products is oversupplied, green, organic and other high-end products are seriously inadequate, seasonal, regional supply and demand imbalance is highlighted.
According to Jiang Gaoming, a researcher at the Institute of Botany of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, in the 1950s, China's application of fertilizer per hectare of farmland was just over 8 kg, and now it is 868 kg, while the internationally recognized safety limit for fertilizer application is 450 kg. Vegetable growth cycle is short, more than a year, in order to pursue prolify, over-fertilization problem is particularly prominent. It is precisely because of years of excessive fertilization, Zhangqiu onion mu yield from the previous year nearly 20,000 catties to the present 10,000 catties. China's vegetable production must be changed from quantity first to quantity as soon as possible.
in terms of quality and efficiency, Hebei Zhangjiakou's approach is worth learning from. In order to ensure that vegetables "pollution-free", the local agricultural sector to promote farm organic fertilizer and insecticidal nets, sticky insect boards, sex traps, insecticidal lamps and other ecological pest control methods, although the cost is high, low yield, but the high quality and price of vegetables, in short supply, and even exported to Southeast Asia.
the current situation of vegetable market, it is very urgent to establish a complete and sensitive market early warning mechanism. Prenatal early warning information, can avoid piles, post-parto market information, can speed up the circulation. The U.S. Agricultural Market Act obliges farmers and agricultural producers who receive government subsidies to provide accurate information on the production and marketing of agricultural products to the government. The U.S. Department of Agriculture issues weekly Meteorological and Crop Bulletins, monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Forecasts, and annual Agricultural Medium- and Long-Term Outlooks, based on timely data collected from both countries and other countries.
, we already have the basis for establishing an early warning mechanism for agricultural products such as vegetables. The vast majority of the country's established villages have been telephone, Internet, cable TV and so on. The most urgent task is to take the lead of government departments or trade associations to integrate the online agricultural product information platform, and the key lies in the supply and demand information to be accurate and timely. (Economic Daily reporter Zheng Qingdong Huang Junyi)