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Recently, a draft called "Responsibility Letter for Accelerating Gas Storage Capacity Building" prepared by the National Development and Reform Commission has aroused widespread attention and discussion in the industry
.
The draft opinion requires that by the end of 2020, upstream gas source companies must form a gas storage capacity of no less than 10% of the annual contracted sales volume, and urban gas companies and uninterrupted large users must form an emergency gas storage capacity of no less than 5% of the annual gas consumption.
At the same time, the people's governments of all provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) are urged to strive to form an emergency peak shaving capacity that is no less than guaranteeing the average daily demand of the region for 3 days before the heating season in 2019
.
Industry insiders estimate that if the policy is implemented, it will give birth to a gas storage peak shaving construction market with a total investment of hundreds of billions of yuan
.
According to the reporter’s understanding, at a time when natural gas continues to develop rapidly and regional and seasonal gas shortages coexist, accelerating the improvement of gas storage and peak shaving capacity has become the common voice of the industry, and some provinces suffering from gas shortages have even begun to self-impose.
To improve the emergency peak shaving capacity of natural gas is an important task of the government
.
However, business people generally believe that, although a substantial increase in gas storage capacity has become a general trend, if supporting policies are not in place, there will be great pressure to meet the standards on time and in quantity
.
? A strong "prescription"? During the two sessions this year, He Lifeng, the head of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that China will steadily advance the construction of storage and gas supply capacity and pipeline network in accordance with the principles of marketization and rule of law
.
"Strive to reach the gas storage capacity of the region, especially the city for about 10 days, within a short period of time
.
At the same time, greater efforts should be made to establish a peak shaving mechanism of about 200 million cubic meters, of which 100 million cubic meters of peaking capacity will be built by PetroChina , Sinopec, CNOOC and other major gas supply companies have completed, and the other 100
million cubic meters will be implemented locally .
” An industry insider explained to reporters that the 200 million cubic meter peak shaving mechanism is determined by the state according to the proportion of 20% of the peak daily gas consumption in winter.
Of
.
"The highest daily consumption of natural gas in my country in the winter of 2017 has exceeded 800 million cubic meters.
Considering normal demand growth, it is expected that the highest daily consumption during the heating season this year will exceed 1 billion cubic meters.
.
The reporter learned during the interview that more than 80% of the provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in the country have already determined the peak shaving tasks with the National Development and Reform Commission, especially those areas that experienced severe gas shortages last year have responded positively.
The
National Development and Reform Commission called for the construction of emergency peak shaving capacity to be placed on the important agenda .
? "Compared with the previous policy documents, the draft opinion sends a strong signal that the amount of peak shaving tasks allocated by the state to local governments will be greatly increased.
To be included in the annual assessment of each city
.
We are even more self-impressing, adding weight to the opinion draft, requiring each city to complete the emergency reserve task based on the highest daily demand throughout the year, and include it in the government's annual assessment
.
A person from the local Development and Reform Commission told reporters
.
? According to the reporter’s understanding, although the strong policies of the National Development and Reform Commission have entered the stage of overstretching in most provinces, Beijing, the country’s largest and the world’s second-largest natural gas consumer, has committed difficulties.
The latter is also one of the few regions that has not yet determined the peak shaving task with the National Development and Reform Commission
.
The reporter learned from Beijing Gas Group that, as the only pipeline natural gas operator in Beijing, the company's natural gas supply reached nearly 15.
4 billion cubic meters in 2017.
The annual average daily gas supply is nearly 42 million cubic meters, and the daily peak gas volume is about 100 million cubic meters
.
"If the emergency peak shaving capacity is determined based on 20% of the peak daily gas consumption, Beijing needs at least three days of 20 million cubic meters of emergency peak shaving capacity
.
However, the emergency peak shaving capacity promised by Beijing to the National Development and Reform Commission is only 8 million cubic meters.
The two numbers are far apart and the difficulty of completion is quite different
.
"A person close to Beijing Gas Group told reporters
.
? Investment feast? The country's strong promotion of gas storage and peak shaving capacity is directly related to the continuous and rapid growth of China's natural gas consumption
.
? Driven by continuous high-pressure environmental protection policies, 2017 China's natural gas consumption climbed to 235.
2 billion cubic meters in 2015, an increase of 17% year-on-year, and the increase exceeded 34 billion cubic meters, setting a new historical record for China's natural gas consumption
.
Some institutions predict that the continued unabated "decoalization" will promote domestic natural gas demand to maintain a growth rate of more than 10% in the next few years, during which domestic natural gas supply will remain tight
.
? Following the completion of 5.
78 million coal-to-gas and coal-to-electricity conversions across the country in 2017, the Ministry of Environmental Protection recently stated that in 2018, the northern region's clean energy conversion work is expected to complete 4 million coal-to-gas and coal-to-electricity conversions, and accelerate the elimination of 10 steam tons.
Small coal-fired boilers below and below, and the elimination of coal-fired boilers with 35 steam tons and below in urban built-up areas will be fully started
.
? "It is expected that the increase in natural gas consumption for the whole year will be between 25 billion and 30 billion cubic meters, and the supply of natural gas in winter will inevitably continue to be tight
.
Under the stimulus of strong demand, rapid infrastructure development is inevitable
.
" Natural gas expert Yang Jianhong Say
.
? Prior to this, the National Development and Reform Commission and other 13 ministries and commissions issued the "Opinions on Accelerating the Utilization of Natural Gas" issued last year, supporting companies that undertake gas storage and peak shaving responsibilities to build, jointly build, and lease gas storage facilities, and encourage companies to obtain information from third parties.
Purchase gas storage peak shaving services, liberalize the right to use gas storage geological structures, and encourage capital from all parties to participate in construction and operation
.
Industry experts interviewed by reporters unanimously agreed that once the "Letter of Responsibility for Accelerating the Construction of Gas Storage Capacity" is implemented, it will surely set off a climax in the construction of domestic gas storage and peak shaving facilities
.
"Calculated by production plus imports, PetroChina’s current gas storage capacity is about 7%
.
According to PetroChina’s current plan, as the natural gas market continues to expand, it is estimated that it will maintain a gas storage capacity of about 7% by 2020.
To reach the 10% level, it is necessary to increase investment of more than ten billion yuan
.
" said Ding Guosheng, secretary of the Underground Storage Research Institute of PetroChina Exploration and Development Research Institute
.
? As far as the gas industry is concerned, “in 2017, city gas accounted for 32.
5% of the total natural gas consumption, about 75 billion cubic meters.
To achieve a 5% emergency reserve capacity by 2020, a 3.
75 billion cubic meters of reserves will need to be built.
Air volume
.
At present, the LNG storage and distribution station with a water volume of 10,000 cubic meters is equivalent to 6 million cubic meters of gaseous natural gas, which requires construction investment of about 300 million yuan, and to meet the gas storage requirements of 3.
75 billion cubic meters, it needs to build about 750 stations.
The total investment is More than 215 billion yuan
.
Some authoritative gas industry experts analyzed and pointed out to reporters
.
? "According to the information I have, social capital has been eager to try.
At present, they mainly favor LNG receiving stations and LNG storage stations
.
In addition, small and fast salt cavern gas storages may also become the first choice for social capital to invest in gas storage and peak shaving
.
"Yang Jianhong said
.
"It is not easy to meet the standard? However, it is not easy to fulfill the investment of this scale in a short period of time, and then to complete the target proposed in the draft opinion
.
" "City gas must reach a gas storage capacity of 5%, which is very important at the operational level.
Difficulties, difficult to achieve within 5 years, massive investment is just one of the difficulties
.
The above-mentioned authoritative experts in the gas industry told reporters
.
? For example, a LNG storage and distribution station with a water volume of 10,000 cubic meters needs to occupy an area of 100 acres, and 750 stations need to occupy 75,000 acres of construction land
.
Even if project approval, site selection, and approval are not considered For factors such as land acquisition and demolition, each station
requires only a construction period of 3 to 4 years .
Some people in the gas industry pointed out that in the current situation that urban land is very tight and the central government prohibits the occupation of agricultural land, a denser area should be formed around the city.
Small storage tanks will inevitably increase the difficulty and risks of urban safety management
.
If large uninterrupted users build all gas storage facilities, it will greatly increase the source of potential safety hazards, which will not only increase the difficulty of safety supervision, but also lead to inefficient investment
.
? In addition, the above-mentioned experts further analyzed and pointed out that the construction of gas storage facilities requires certain geological and geographic conditions, and China’s relevant resources are insufficient, and the urban gas industry does not have expertise in this area.
.
Urban gas companies are generally small in scale, small in capital accumulation, and high in loan costs.
The huge investment in gas storage facilities will inevitably lead to increased gas supply costs and a sharp rise in gas sales prices.
This means that scattered, small-scale gas companies can only Choosing small LNG storage tanks will have significantly higher construction costs than gas storage tanks
.
"Construction costs and operating and management costs will ultimately be reflected in the terminal gas price.
This requires the coordination of policies at all levels of government in terms of land, planning, taxation, and safety supervision, and this cannot be coordinated and resolved in the short term.
.
"? in this regard, the gas institute Shaanxi former president Guo Zonghua reminder, should solve professional problems with a professional means to address the issue of natural gas in winter peak to be responsible for the division of labor, the combination of the orderly interruption, not" gets going on "
.
? Another person from PetroChina pointed out that the seasonal imbalance of supply and demand is not just a reserve issue, but the market mechanism should also play a role
.
"Relying on huge reserve facilities to solve the seasonal shortage of supply and demand will cause a lot of waste and miss the opportunity to solve the problem
.
"
.
The draft opinion requires that by the end of 2020, upstream gas source companies must form a gas storage capacity of no less than 10% of the annual contracted sales volume, and urban gas companies and uninterrupted large users must form an emergency gas storage capacity of no less than 5% of the annual gas consumption.
At the same time, the people's governments of all provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) are urged to strive to form an emergency peak shaving capacity that is no less than guaranteeing the average daily demand of the region for 3 days before the heating season in 2019
.
Industry insiders estimate that if the policy is implemented, it will give birth to a gas storage peak shaving construction market with a total investment of hundreds of billions of yuan
.
According to the reporter’s understanding, at a time when natural gas continues to develop rapidly and regional and seasonal gas shortages coexist, accelerating the improvement of gas storage and peak shaving capacity has become the common voice of the industry, and some provinces suffering from gas shortages have even begun to self-impose.
To improve the emergency peak shaving capacity of natural gas is an important task of the government
.
However, business people generally believe that, although a substantial increase in gas storage capacity has become a general trend, if supporting policies are not in place, there will be great pressure to meet the standards on time and in quantity
.
? A strong "prescription"? During the two sessions this year, He Lifeng, the head of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that China will steadily advance the construction of storage and gas supply capacity and pipeline network in accordance with the principles of marketization and rule of law
.
"Strive to reach the gas storage capacity of the region, especially the city for about 10 days, within a short period of time
.
At the same time, greater efforts should be made to establish a peak shaving mechanism of about 200 million cubic meters, of which 100 million cubic meters of peaking capacity will be built by PetroChina , Sinopec, CNOOC and other major gas supply companies have completed, and the other 100
million cubic meters will be implemented locally .
” An industry insider explained to reporters that the 200 million cubic meter peak shaving mechanism is determined by the state according to the proportion of 20% of the peak daily gas consumption in winter.
Of
.
"The highest daily consumption of natural gas in my country in the winter of 2017 has exceeded 800 million cubic meters.
Considering normal demand growth, it is expected that the highest daily consumption during the heating season this year will exceed 1 billion cubic meters.
.
The reporter learned during the interview that more than 80% of the provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in the country have already determined the peak shaving tasks with the National Development and Reform Commission, especially those areas that experienced severe gas shortages last year have responded positively.
The
National Development and Reform Commission called for the construction of emergency peak shaving capacity to be placed on the important agenda .
? "Compared with the previous policy documents, the draft opinion sends a strong signal that the amount of peak shaving tasks allocated by the state to local governments will be greatly increased.
To be included in the annual assessment of each city
.
We are even more self-impressing, adding weight to the opinion draft, requiring each city to complete the emergency reserve task based on the highest daily demand throughout the year, and include it in the government's annual assessment
.
A person from the local Development and Reform Commission told reporters
.
? According to the reporter’s understanding, although the strong policies of the National Development and Reform Commission have entered the stage of overstretching in most provinces, Beijing, the country’s largest and the world’s second-largest natural gas consumer, has committed difficulties.
The latter is also one of the few regions that has not yet determined the peak shaving task with the National Development and Reform Commission
.
The reporter learned from Beijing Gas Group that, as the only pipeline natural gas operator in Beijing, the company's natural gas supply reached nearly 15.
4 billion cubic meters in 2017.
The annual average daily gas supply is nearly 42 million cubic meters, and the daily peak gas volume is about 100 million cubic meters
.
"If the emergency peak shaving capacity is determined based on 20% of the peak daily gas consumption, Beijing needs at least three days of 20 million cubic meters of emergency peak shaving capacity
.
However, the emergency peak shaving capacity promised by Beijing to the National Development and Reform Commission is only 8 million cubic meters.
The two numbers are far apart and the difficulty of completion is quite different
.
"A person close to Beijing Gas Group told reporters
.
? Investment feast? The country's strong promotion of gas storage and peak shaving capacity is directly related to the continuous and rapid growth of China's natural gas consumption
.
? Driven by continuous high-pressure environmental protection policies, 2017 China's natural gas consumption climbed to 235.
2 billion cubic meters in 2015, an increase of 17% year-on-year, and the increase exceeded 34 billion cubic meters, setting a new historical record for China's natural gas consumption
.
Some institutions predict that the continued unabated "decoalization" will promote domestic natural gas demand to maintain a growth rate of more than 10% in the next few years, during which domestic natural gas supply will remain tight
.
? Following the completion of 5.
78 million coal-to-gas and coal-to-electricity conversions across the country in 2017, the Ministry of Environmental Protection recently stated that in 2018, the northern region's clean energy conversion work is expected to complete 4 million coal-to-gas and coal-to-electricity conversions, and accelerate the elimination of 10 steam tons.
Small coal-fired boilers below and below, and the elimination of coal-fired boilers with 35 steam tons and below in urban built-up areas will be fully started
.
? "It is expected that the increase in natural gas consumption for the whole year will be between 25 billion and 30 billion cubic meters, and the supply of natural gas in winter will inevitably continue to be tight
.
Under the stimulus of strong demand, rapid infrastructure development is inevitable
.
" Natural gas expert Yang Jianhong Say
.
? Prior to this, the National Development and Reform Commission and other 13 ministries and commissions issued the "Opinions on Accelerating the Utilization of Natural Gas" issued last year, supporting companies that undertake gas storage and peak shaving responsibilities to build, jointly build, and lease gas storage facilities, and encourage companies to obtain information from third parties.
Purchase gas storage peak shaving services, liberalize the right to use gas storage geological structures, and encourage capital from all parties to participate in construction and operation
.
Industry experts interviewed by reporters unanimously agreed that once the "Letter of Responsibility for Accelerating the Construction of Gas Storage Capacity" is implemented, it will surely set off a climax in the construction of domestic gas storage and peak shaving facilities
.
"Calculated by production plus imports, PetroChina’s current gas storage capacity is about 7%
.
According to PetroChina’s current plan, as the natural gas market continues to expand, it is estimated that it will maintain a gas storage capacity of about 7% by 2020.
To reach the 10% level, it is necessary to increase investment of more than ten billion yuan
.
" said Ding Guosheng, secretary of the Underground Storage Research Institute of PetroChina Exploration and Development Research Institute
.
? As far as the gas industry is concerned, “in 2017, city gas accounted for 32.
5% of the total natural gas consumption, about 75 billion cubic meters.
To achieve a 5% emergency reserve capacity by 2020, a 3.
75 billion cubic meters of reserves will need to be built.
Air volume
.
At present, the LNG storage and distribution station with a water volume of 10,000 cubic meters is equivalent to 6 million cubic meters of gaseous natural gas, which requires construction investment of about 300 million yuan, and to meet the gas storage requirements of 3.
75 billion cubic meters, it needs to build about 750 stations.
The total investment is More than 215 billion yuan
.
Some authoritative gas industry experts analyzed and pointed out to reporters
.
? "According to the information I have, social capital has been eager to try.
At present, they mainly favor LNG receiving stations and LNG storage stations
.
In addition, small and fast salt cavern gas storages may also become the first choice for social capital to invest in gas storage and peak shaving
.
"Yang Jianhong said
.
"It is not easy to meet the standard? However, it is not easy to fulfill the investment of this scale in a short period of time, and then to complete the target proposed in the draft opinion
.
" "City gas must reach a gas storage capacity of 5%, which is very important at the operational level.
Difficulties, difficult to achieve within 5 years, massive investment is just one of the difficulties
.
The above-mentioned authoritative experts in the gas industry told reporters
.
? For example, a LNG storage and distribution station with a water volume of 10,000 cubic meters needs to occupy an area of 100 acres, and 750 stations need to occupy 75,000 acres of construction land
.
Even if project approval, site selection, and approval are not considered For factors such as land acquisition and demolition, each station
requires only a construction period of 3 to 4 years .
Some people in the gas industry pointed out that in the current situation that urban land is very tight and the central government prohibits the occupation of agricultural land, a denser area should be formed around the city.
Small storage tanks will inevitably increase the difficulty and risks of urban safety management
.
If large uninterrupted users build all gas storage facilities, it will greatly increase the source of potential safety hazards, which will not only increase the difficulty of safety supervision, but also lead to inefficient investment
.
? In addition, the above-mentioned experts further analyzed and pointed out that the construction of gas storage facilities requires certain geological and geographic conditions, and China’s relevant resources are insufficient, and the urban gas industry does not have expertise in this area.
.
Urban gas companies are generally small in scale, small in capital accumulation, and high in loan costs.
The huge investment in gas storage facilities will inevitably lead to increased gas supply costs and a sharp rise in gas sales prices.
This means that scattered, small-scale gas companies can only Choosing small LNG storage tanks will have significantly higher construction costs than gas storage tanks
.
"Construction costs and operating and management costs will ultimately be reflected in the terminal gas price.
This requires the coordination of policies at all levels of government in terms of land, planning, taxation, and safety supervision, and this cannot be coordinated and resolved in the short term.
.
"? in this regard, the gas institute Shaanxi former president Guo Zonghua reminder, should solve professional problems with a professional means to address the issue of natural gas in winter peak to be responsible for the division of labor, the combination of the orderly interruption, not" gets going on "
.
? Another person from PetroChina pointed out that the seasonal imbalance of supply and demand is not just a reserve issue, but the market mechanism should also play a role
.
"Relying on huge reserve facilities to solve the seasonal shortage of supply and demand will cause a lot of waste and miss the opportunity to solve the problem
.
"
