Non-GMO soybeans are produced all over the world, with China importing 1.5 million tonnes last year

China is the world's largest producer of non-GMO soybeans and the world's largest importer of
GM soybeans.
However, while importing GM soybeans, China is also importing a large number of non-GMO soybeans, with imports of non-GMO soybeans reaching 1.
5 million tons in 2021 and 1.
24 million tons
in January-July 2022.
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kJV feed industry information network - based on feed, serving livestock

In addition, from the price point of view, whether it is spot or futures, non-GMO soybeans have a price difference with GM soybeans, the former is more expensive than the latter
.
On September 13, the spot price of non-GMO soybeans in Heilongjiang was 6260 yuan / ton, and the port distribution price of imported genetically modified soybeans was 5350 yuan / ton, a difference of 910 yuan / ton
.
On the same day, the futures closing price of non-GMO soybean bean one on Dalian Commodity Exchange (hereinafter referred to as "Dashang") was 5893 yuan / ton, and the futures closing price of genetically modified soybean bean two was 5382 yuan / ton, a difference of 511 yuan / ton
.
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In fact, the "dual-track system" of the soybean industry not only exists in China, but also exists in other major soybean producing countries in the
world.
For example, Brazil and the United States are the world's leading soybean producers, and the vast majority of soybeans produced are genetically modified soybeans, however, both countries also grow a certain proportion of non-GMO soybeans
.
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The root cause of the "dual-track system" lies in demand
.
Industry insiders pointed out that in the field of food processing, such as soy products, soy sauce, etc.
, non-GMO soybeans are used as raw materials
.
Genetically modified soybeans are used to squeeze oil and soybean meal, which is the main raw material
for feed.
First, as long as it is a government-approved GM crop, the safety of
its consumption and feeding is determined.
Second, since there are some consumer groups in the market who have a consumer preference for non-GMO soybeans, it is enough
to respect it and satisfy it.
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Non-GMO soybean production throughout the global kJV feed industry information network - based on feed, serving livestock

Global soybean production will exceed 360 million tonnes in 2021 and is expected to reach 380 million tonnes
in 2022/2023, according to the International Cereals Council.
According to industry statistics, the global annual output of non-GMO soybeans is about 60 million to 70 million tons, accounting for about
13% to 16% of the total global soybean production.
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China is the origin of soybeans, and the domestic cultivation of soybeans is a non-GMO variety, and the yield of this variety ranks first in the
world.
In 2021, China's soybean production reached 16.
4 million tons.

From 2022 onwards, with the start of the implementation of soybean and oil production capacity improvement projects by the state, the output is expected to be close to 20 million tons
.
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It is worth noting that in 2021, China launched a pilot
industrialization of genetically modified soybeans.
In July this year, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs officially said: "Last year's pilot effect was good, this year is the second year of the pilot, and will continue to carry out the pilot in an orderly manner in strict accordance with the
regulations and requirements.
" "kJV feed industry information network - based on feed, serving livestock

Zhang Xiaoping, chief representative of the United States Soybean Export Association in Greater China, told the first financial reporter that China's pilot commercial planting of genetically modified soybeans is not surprising at all
.
Because China has been following up on this technology since the launch of the "863" program in 1986, it has only grown genetically modified cotton and papaya
.
It can be said that research has long been done, but application is imminent
.
So, as expected within the industry, it is only a matter of time before this step is taken
.
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The benefits of planting genetically modified crops, taking genetically modified soybeans as an example, for a production area, if you plant herbicide-resistant genetically modified soybeans, the better performance in the early stage is that through reasonable dense planting, a certain yield can be increased, while significantly reducing the cost of soybean weeding, reducing toxic weed seeds, and improving the balance of soybean quality
.
After more than 20 years of cultivation practice, soybean yields have grown from more than 30 bushels per acre (1 bushel is about 27 kg) to more than 50 bushels
.
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In the future, with the advent of high-protein varieties or other varieties with quality improvement characteristics, the quality of soybean products will be greatly improved, benefiting the soybean industry and consumers
.
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However, Zhang Xiaoping also mentioned that China is the hometown of soybeans, which can still produce nearly 20 million tons of non-GMO soybeans every year, and is the world's largest and pure non-GMO soybean producer
.
If GM soybeans are grown commercially and without appropriate and effective management measures, there may be some unexpected situations that will have some impact on
the production of non-GM soybeans.
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In addition to China, non-GMO soybeans are produced all over the world
.
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In Brazil, for example, non-GMO soybeans were planted at 793,000 hectares in 2021/2022 and nearly 1 million hectares in 2022/2023, accounting for about
2% of the total soybean-sown area in the country.
In terms of production, non-GMO soybeans in 2022/2023 are expected to reach about
18 million tons.
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As for other countries, they are mainly distributed in Asia, the Americas, Europe and Africa
.
For example, India's average annual output is 10 million to 12 million tons; The Amur Oblast in the Russian Far East has the largest output, with an annual output of 1 million to 1.
2 million tons, accounting for more than 65% of the total soybean production in the Far East; The annual output of the United States is less than 7 million tons; Ukraine's annual output is about 3 million to 4 million tons; The annual output of the EU region is about 2 million tons; South Africa is Africa's largest soybean producer, with forecasts of 2.
091 million tonnes
in 2021/2022.
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Non-GMO soybeans are grown, primarily for consumption
.
In the United States, for example, 60% of non-GMO soybeans are used to produce processed foods, and about 52% of these soybeans used for food processing make tofu, 28% make soy milk, 8% make soy sauce, and other foods
such as natto.
38% of non-GMO soybeans are used in feed processing
.
In terms of feed processing, it is mainly used to make non-GMO soybean meal
.
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The European Union, for example, has strict food requirements and only allows the cultivation of non-GMO soybeans
.
In addition to being used for consumption, it is also used in the production of non-GMO soybean meal for poultry and livestock feed feeding
.
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There is also India, the people are mainly vegetarian, but also like to eat high-oil food, non-GMO soybeans are mainly used to make edible oil.

Soybean meal after soybean crushing is exported to other countries
in addition to supplying domestic feed consumption.
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Consumer and trade demand is concentrated in China, the EU kJV feed industry information network - based on feed, serving livestock

Globally, the consumption and trade demand for non-GMO soybeans is very concentrated, mainly in China and the European Union
.
Since supply exceeds demand, they have to import
a large amount.
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In the European Union, there are some consumer groups that have high food safety requirements and want livestock to be fed
by non-GMO feeds.
Therefore, there is also the phenomenon
of non-GMO soybean meal used in the feed of livestock and poultry in some areas.
Although this is not the mainstream, it is precisely because of the existence and increase of this part of the demand that has stimulated the expansion
of non-GMO soybean cultivation in South America and other regions.
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At present, the import of non-GMO soybeans in the EU mainly comes from two channels, one is through sea and rail, from Russia and Ukraine; The second is by sea, from South American countries
such as Brazil.
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In China, non-GMO soybeans are mainly used for the production of soy products, soy sauce, sauce, soy protein and other food processing, a small part of which is used for oil pressing, and some for storage and seeds
.
According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, in 2022, China's non-GMO soybean food consumption will reach 14.
32 million tons
.
In addition, 1 million to 1.
5 million tons of non-GMO soybeans are imported every year for the production of soybean meal
.
China stipulates that imported non-GMO soybeans are only used for processing soybean seeds and are not used for planting
.
Therefore, the vast majority of imported non-GMO soybeans directly enter the processing plant to produce non-GMO soybean meal, soybean protein and other processed soybean products after the port quarantine inspection is completed, mainly for livestock feed feeding
.
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Wang Chen, a researcher in the oil and fat industry of Blake's agricultural big data, told the first financial reporter that overall, the domestic demand for soy products, soy sauce, sauce, soy protein and so on is relatively stable
.
In this context, in recent years, the import volume of non-GMO soybeans has been rising, and the proportion of imported non-GMO soybeans in domestic demand for non-GMO soybeans may increase
.
At present, the import dependence of non-GMO soybeans is low, accounting for only 7% to 8% of the production of domestic non-GMO soybeans
.
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Due to the rapid growth of feed demand for soybean meal and other feeds, China has changed from a net exporter of soybeans to a net importer in 1996 since 1990, and gradually changed from complete self-sufficiency of soybeans to a high degree of dependence on imports
.
After a long period of dislocation competition, China has gradually formed two relatively independent markets of domestic non-GMO soybeans and imported genetically modified soybeans, domestic soybeans are mainly edible, imported soybeans are mainly used to process oils and fats and feed soybean meal, and the two are also substitution
between each other.
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Whether it is the soybean application system or the big commercial firm, there has always been a dividing line
between GM and non-GMO.
Zhang Xiaoping mentioned that imported genetically modified soybeans are used for crushing processing, and its main product, soybean meal, is the main raw material for animal feed, of course, this causes soybeans to have high dependence on foreign countries, which is also an objective reality
.
Whether it is edible soybeans directly made into soybean products, or feed soybeans made into feed for livestock and poultry breeding, they are eventually converted into food
.
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In addition, in the soybean futures market of Dashang, in 2002, soybean No.
1 (non-GMO edible soybeans) and soybean No.
2 (genetically modified oil soybeans) were split and listed, providing the global market with price information on China's high-quality high-protein soybeans, domestic soybean futures prices gradually got rid of the impact of the Chicago Exchange (CBOT) soybean futures prices, and the correlation between domestic and foreign soybeans gradually weakened and began to show an independent market situation
.
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Since China became a net importer of soybeans, it has mainly imported genetically modified soybeans
used for oil extraction from the United States and other countries.
Since 2009, non-GMO soybeans
have been imported from Russia.
Subsequently, imports of non-GMO soybeans showed a slow growth trend
.
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Wang Chen believes that China's imports of soybeans will still be genetically modified soybeans used to crush soybean oil and soybean meal for some time to come, and the status of the world's main soybean producers in the United States and Brazil is difficult to be shaken, so China's main imported soybean source countries are still the United States and Brazil
.
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Industry insiders also mentioned that the scarcity of non-GMO soybeans is more and more valued by the international market, and the domestic soybean industry should aim at the international and domestic food markets, play the competitive advantage of non-GMO soybeans, and form a pattern
of dislocation competition and mutual complementarity with GM soybeans.
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kJV feed industry information network - based on feed, serving livestock

In 2021, China imported 1.
5 million tons of non-GMO soybeans, an increase of 25%
year-on-year.
Among them, Canada is China's largest importer of non-GMO soybeans, with an import volume of 588,000 tons
.
It is followed by Russia with 543,900 tons
.
In addition, in recent years, the amount of non-GMO soybeans imported by China from African countries has increased year by year, and Benin's imports have reached 232,000 tons
.
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Wang Chen mentioned that China's annual imports of non-GMO soybeans will still remain at 1 million to 1.
5 million tons, mainly for the production of non-GMO soybean meal and soybean protein
.
Non-GMO soybeans from Africa may become hot in the next period, but only three African countries currently allow exports
to China.
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