North China planting costs continue to rise, pushing up corn price expectations
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Last Update: 2020-07-01
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Source: Internet
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Author: User
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with the north OfChina grain-producing areas of the new season wheat online harvest team continued to "northward", the new season corn seeding activities in north China have been launched, in order to learn more about this year's new season corn planting costs in North China, China Corn Network recently organized a new season corn planting survey in North China, researchers in North China's main corn-producing provinces Shandong, Henan, Hebei, extensive visits to understand the new season corn planting costs around the situationCit
From the investigation and understanding of the situation, this year's corn planting costs in North China mainly include seed costs, fertilizer costs, sowing labor and agricultural tools costs, watering costs, medicine and medicine costsOverall, although the increase in corn planting costs in the new season in North China this year has slowed compared with the previous two years, the upward trend continues, the specific cost situation is as follows:Cit1Seed cost: the price of farmers buying seeds in the research area concentrated in between 35-55 yuan / bag, each bag of seed weight in 3.7-4 kg, the average per acre needs about 5 pounds of seeds, this year's seed cost compared to last year stableAccording to the interviewee, the current market of various brands of seeds are emerging, and farmers in the actual purchase in addition to listening to advertising, lack of scientific and practical guidance, the risk of buying fake seeds is greaterIn this research, the research area in addition to the traditional Zheng single 958, Single 20, Denghai series are still relatively popular, but also found a lot of other brand seeds, such as Yudan 916, Tiantai 14, auspicious one and so onCit
2Fertilizer cost: In recent years, because of the continuity and persistence of the effect of releasing fertilizer is more and more favored by grain farmers, this year's research area farmers selected fertilizer varieties to control the release of fertilizer, the use of compound fertilizer farmers has been limited, but different regions, different brands of controlled release fertilizer pricedifference is larger, basically between 120-180 yuan / bag (80 pounds) per acre of land need to apply a bag of controlled release fertilizerIn addition to the application of controlled release fertilizer during the sowing period, some farmers will add part of urea in the long-term corn production, the additional amount is about half a bag, but there are many farmers based on cost reduction considerations, has stopped adding ureaFertilizer costs in the survey area are still rising slightly this year compared with last yearCit
3Sowing labor and agricultural tools cost: this year's research area in addition to individual corner small area of land can not use machine operations, the vast majority of plots will use machine seeding, which for farmers to bring convenience at the same time, but also make the planting cost increased, in recent years, the overall continuous rise in labor costs so that the overall cost of planting farmers are rising year by year It is understood that this year's research area of the new season corn planting period labor and agricultural tools costs will be mainly concentrated in 20-30 yuan / mu, compared with last year's increase is more obvious, but also the largest increase in the cost of planting Cit
4 Watering cost: North China due to perennial water shortage and dry weather, irrigation facilities are more developed, irrigation methods mainly include the introduction of the Yellow River irrigation and pumping groundwater irrigation, and irrigation costs mainly from two aspects, namely, employment of manpower and electricity costs, in this survey learned that there are certain differences in the cost of irrigation, specifically between 10-30 yuan / mu, slightly more than last year flat According to some respondents, the introduction of the Yellow River for artificial irrigation to the relevant departments to pay a certain fee, specifically for the head-to-head calculation of 30-40 yuan / year or so per person Cit
5 The cost of buying medicine and medicine: the corn planting period in the research area generally need to play insecticides and herbicides, the number of drugs according to the actual needs of corn growth process, according to the annual injection of each type of drug calculation, the cost of buying and selling drugs is basically about 12-15 yuan / mu, slightly more than last year It is understood that the current research area is still more by manual completion, but also for their own personnel operation, few people hired, this cost is more reflected in the cost of buying drugs Cit
Comprehensive this study of the specific cost changes in each research area, we generally draw the following conclusions: North China new season corn planting costs have risen steadily, of which the largest increase in labor costs, fertilizer costs, seed costs steady small and medium-sized increase, medicine and watering costs flat slightly increased Although the overall rate of increase in corn planting costs in the northern Region of China has slowed compared with the past two years, and even saw a slight decline in agricultural prices in some areas, the overall upward price of planting costs continues Cit
In recent years, with the overall increase in price level, farmers grow corn costs show a continuous upward state, high-cost input and relatively low output returns so that some farmers' enthusiasm to grow grain has been hit, from recent years we continue to the north of China corn cultivation tracking research to understand that the current rural main labor force is more than older workers, young people are less in the domestic farm, more is to go out to earn money to support the Cit
On the contrary, corn, the impact of rising planting costs on the corn market is undoubtedly mainly reflected in the driving effect of corn prices: Cit first of all, in the face of rising planting costs, growers will be directly transferred to the cost of rising pressure on the price of grain sales prices, hard work a year, farmers in the autumn harvest and sale of grain will certainly be considered to ensure a certain income as a prerequisite for pricing grain, which will make the planting cost of rising directly in the end corn sales price Cit
Secondly, in the case of rising corn planting costs of farmers year by year, the state based on the protection of farmers' planting enthusiasm, stable domestic food supply considerations, in providing planting subsidies for grain farmers at the same time, but also increase the national protection price year by year, while the market protection price has been regarded as the bottom price, the national protection price increased year by year also makes the bottom of domestic corn prices continue to rise Cit
Third, grain as a commodity, its price increase will drive a series of downstream and related products prices, and ultimately push up social prices as a whole, and in turn push up the cost of grain and agricultural cultivation, pushup corn prices, the formation of repeated cycles Cit
Comprehensive above, this year's new season corn planting costs in North China production areas will provide cost momentum for the upward trend of corn prices in the aftermarket, and in this year's Northeast lingo storage of large-scale storage, the Northeast and North China production areas of high-quality corn limited, the market effective trade grain supply tightening and other factors under the combined effect of the Northeast and North China corn price shresthukness will gradually begin to release Cit With the new season wheat online harvesting team in the main grain-producing areas of North China continue to "go north", the new season corn planting activities in north China have been launched, in order to learn more about the changes in corn planting costs in the new season in North China this year, China Corn Network recently organized a new season corn planting survey in North China, researchers in-depth north China corn-producing provinces Shandong, Henan, Hebei, extensive visits to obtain information about the new season corn planting costs in North China Cit
From the investigation and understanding of the situation, this year's corn planting costs in North China mainly include seed costs, fertilizer costs, sowing labor and agricultural tools costs, watering costs, medicine and medicine costs Overall, although the increase in corn planting costs in the new season in North China this year has slowed compared with the previous two years, the upward trend continues, the specific cost situation is as follows: Cit 1 Seed cost: the price of farmers buying seeds in the research area concentrated in between 35-55 yuan / bag, each bag of seed weight in 3.7-4 kg, the average per acre needs about 5 pounds of seeds, this year's seed cost compared to last year stable According to the interviewee, the current market of various brands of seeds are emerging, and farmers in the actual purchase in addition to listening to advertising, lack of scientific and practical guidance, the risk of buying fake seeds is greater In this research, the research area in addition to the traditional Zheng single 958, Single 20, Denghai series are still relatively popular, but also found a lot of other brand seeds, such as Yudan 916, Tiantai 14, auspicious one and so on Cit
2 Fertilizer cost: In recent years, because of the continuity and persistence of the effect of releasing fertilizer is more and more favored by grain farmers, this year's research area farmers selected fertilizer varieties to control the release of fertilizer, the use of compound fertilizer farmers has been limited, but different regions, different brands of controlled release fertilizer pricedifference is larger, basically between 120-180 yuan / bag (80 pounds) per acre of land need to apply a bag of controlled release fertilizer In addition to the application of controlled release fertilizer during the sowing period, some farmers will add part of urea in the long-term corn production, the additional amount is about half a bag, but there are many farmers based on cost reduction considerations, has stopped adding urea Fertilizer costs in the survey area are still rising slightly this year compared with last year Cit
3 Sowing labor and agricultural tools cost: this year's research area in addition to individual corner small area of land can not use machine operations, the vast majority of plots will use machine seeding, which for farmers to bring convenience at the same time, but also make the planting cost increased, in recent years, the overall continuous rise in labor costs so that the overall cost of planting farmers are rising year by year It is understood that this year's research area of the new season corn planting period labor and agricultural tools costs will be mainly concentrated in 20-30 yuan / mu, compared with last year's increase is more obvious, but also the largest increase in the cost of planting Cit
4 Watering cost: North China due to perennial water shortage and dry weather, irrigation facilities are more developed, irrigation methods mainly include the introduction of the Yellow River irrigation and pumping groundwater irrigation, and irrigation costs mainly from two aspects, namely, employment of manpower and electricity costs, in this survey learned that there are certain differences in the cost of irrigation, specifically between 10-30 yuan / mu, slightly more than last year flat According to some respondents, the introduction of the Yellow River for artificial irrigation to the relevant departments to pay a certain fee, specifically for the head-to-head calculation of 30-40 yuan / year or so per person Cit
5 The cost of buying medicine and medicine: the corn planting period in the research area generally need to play insecticides and herbicides, the number of drugs according to the actual needs of corn growth process, according to the annual injection of each type of drug calculation, the cost of buying and selling drugs is basically about 12-15 yuan / mu, slightly more than last year It is understood that the current research area is still more by manual completion, but also for their own personnel operation, few people hired, this cost is more reflected in the cost of buying drugs Cit
Comprehensive this study of the specific cost changes in each research area, we generally draw the following conclusions: North China new season corn planting costs have risen steadily, of which the largest increase in labor costs, fertilizer costs, seed costs steady small and medium-sized increase, medicine and watering costs flat slightly increased Although the overall rate of increase in corn planting costs in the northern Region of China has slowed compared with the past two years, and even saw a slight decline in agricultural prices in some areas, the overall upward price of planting costs continues Cit
In recent years, with the overall increase in price level, farmers grow corn costs show a continuous upward state, high-cost input and relatively low output returns so that some farmers' enthusiasm to grow grain has been hit, from recent years we continue to the north of China corn cultivation tracking research to understand that the current rural main labor force is more than older workers, young people are less in the domestic farm, more is to go out to earn money to support the Cit
On the contrary, corn, the impact of rising planting costs on the corn market is undoubtedly mainly reflected in the driving effect of corn prices: Cit first of all, in the face of rising planting costs, growers will be directly transferred to the cost of rising pressure on the price of grain sales prices, hard work a year, farmers in the autumn harvest and sale of grain will certainly be considered to ensure a certain income as a prerequisite for pricing grain, which will make the planting cost of rising directly in the end corn sales price Cit
Secondly, in the case of rising corn planting costs of farmers year by year, the state based on the protection of farmers' planting enthusiasm, stable domestic food supply considerations, in providing planting subsidies for grain farmers at the same time, but also increase the national protection price year by year, while the market protection price has been regarded as the bottom price, the national protection price increased year by year also makes the bottom of domestic corn prices continue to rise Cit
Third, grain as a commodity, its price increase will drive a series of downstream and related products prices, and ultimately push up social prices as a whole, and in turn push up the cost of grain and agricultural cultivation, pushup corn prices, the formation of repeated cycles Cit
Comprehensive above, this year's new season corn planting costs in North China production areas will provide cost momentum for the upward trend of corn prices in the aftermarket, and in this year's Northeast lingo storage of large-scale storage, the Northeast and North China production areas of high-quality corn limited, the market effective trade grain supply tightening and other factors under the combined effect of the Northeast and North China corn price shresthukness will gradually begin to release Cit
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