"The price of live pigs fell below 10 yuan per catty" on the hot search

Since April, domestic live pig prices have fluctuated and fallen
.

Entering May, the average domestic pig price fell below the 10 yuan per catty mark, setting a new low

Reporter visit

The price of pork per catty in Nanjing is basically below 20 yuan

In a vegetable market near Kexiang, Qinhuai District, Nanjing, a reporter from the Yangtze Evening News found that there was an electronic display above each stall, marking the reference price of pork for that day
.

In the reference price, the price of most pork is still more than 20 yuan per catty

The reporter learned that the prices of different types of pork are also different
.

According to a merchant who runs a pork shop, the price of freshly slaughtered hot meat is the most expensive, about 20 yuan a catty; the price of cold fresh meat is 17 yuan a catty

In contrast, pork sold in supermarkets is more expensive
.

In the fresh food area of ​​Carrefour Supermarket near Hexi Central Park, the reporter saw that the bulk with skin was 19.

According to wind economic data, the average wholesale price of pork has continued to fall from 23.
79 yuan/kg on January 15 this year, and fell to 13.
35 yuan/kg on May 18, which is similar to the price in August 2019
.

According to weekly statistics from the China Animal Husbandry Information Network, as of the week of May 14, the average price of pork in 22 provinces and cities across the country was 16.

Voices of all parties

Pork prices are cheaper for many reasons

So, how do consumers feel about the decline in pork prices? When a woman in her 50s was buying pork at a stall, she was asked by reporters and said bluntly: "The price drop is a good thing for our people!"

Some consumers also said, “When the price of pork is high, they will choose beef and mutton or chicken instead of buying food at home, so the fluctuation of pork price will not have a great impact on them
.

”

What do retailers think about the decline in pork prices? A merchant summed it up with "sell high and sell low".
They buy from the upstream at a certain price, and then sell them according to market conditions.
Changes in pork prices have little effect on them
.

Boss Jia, a big salesman who has worked hard for many years in the pork market, introduced that the last two years have been a period of recovery for the pig market
.

"In 2019, due to the influence of swine fever, my sister's family's pig farm in Henan suffered a lot of losses

According to a CCTV financial report, relevant experts believe that in the past two years, under the guidance of policies, domestic pig breeding has steadily improved, and the supply and demand relationship in the pork market has continued to improve
.

Since the second half of last year, pork prices have shown a trend of volatility and adjustment

market prediction

It is difficult for pig prices to return to their previous highs in the future

A small-scale pig farmer told the Yangtze Evening News that from October to November 2020, due to short supply, the sales price of pigs reached their highest peak, around 18-19 yuan per catty, and the market retail prices were also very high at that time
.

At present, the price of raw pork sold by the farmer ranges from 7-9 yuan per catty, which is relatively close to the 5-6 yuan per catty in the previous period
.

The reporter learned from this farmer that in the past year or so, as the price of pork has soared, the price of feed has also risen to a certain extent
.
Now the price of live pigs has dropped, but the cost of feed is still high, and the profit margins of farmers have been compressed
.
Speaking of the current profitability, he said, "Our farm has sows giving birth, and the situation is okay, and there is no problem with the cost-preservation
.
"

Xu Chuanbao, chief investment consultant of Jinyuan Securities, said that for farmers, if they want to avoid the losses caused by the cyclical price fluctuations of pork, they can take some measures to deal with it: On the one hand, they can scientifically predict the future trend of pork prices.
Production layout; on the other hand, live pig futures can be used to hedge the risk of future price fluctuations
.

Founder mid-term futures released a research report that it is difficult for pig prices to return to their previous highs in the future due to the overall recovery of national pig production capacity
.