US Department of Agriculture: 2020/21 season global apple production and trade volume will both fall

According to a report released by the US Department of Agriculture recently: Affected by the reduction in China's apple production, the total global output of apples in the 2020/21 season* is expected to decrease by 3.
6 million tons year-on-year to about 75.
9 million tons
.
As the amount of apples that meet the export standards of the EU and the United States has declined, the global apple trade volume in the 2020/21 season may also shrink .

 

　　China

 

　　As the major apple-producing provinces in Northwest China are hit by the spring cold wave, China’s apple output in the 2020/21 season is expected to be reduced by 1.
9 million tons, with a total output of about 40.
5 million tons
.
Although the output will fall, the number of low-grade fruits will increase, which may actually be beneficial to the export of Chinese apples
.
The main reason is that the overseas markets of Chinese apples are mainly concentrated in Southeast Asia and South Asia, which are more sensitive to price fluctuations
.
The poor logistics caused by the epidemic will continue to affect China's apple import trade.
It is estimated that this season's apple imports will be about 70,000 tons
.

 

　　new Zealand

 

　　Due to the impact of hail weather in major apple producing areas in the country and the generally small apple fruit types this season, the output of New Zealand apples in 2020/21 season is expected to decrease by 8% year-on-year to about 543,000 tons, which will also be the last five seasons.
The lowest yield to come
.
The harvested area will remain stable overall, about 10,300 hectares
.
As new seedlings are put into production one after another, emerging patent varieties such as Envy, Dazzle, Honeycrisp and Rockit will continue to perform strongly on the production side
.
At present, the above-mentioned varieties account for 8.
5%, 2.
8%, 1.
4% and 2.
7% of the total planted area in the country respectively
.
The decrease in output and the shortage of labor during the harvest period have a negative impact on exports this season.
The export volume is expected to be approximately 345,000 tons, a year-on-year decrease of approximately 56,000 tons
.

 

　　South Africa

 

　　South Africa's apple planting area has been steadily increasing in recent years, and the country is also interested in cultivating new varieties that can still achieve high yield and high quality in a higher temperature environment
.
According to forecasts, South Africa’s 2020/21 season apple production is about 966,000 tons, achieving growth for the third consecutive year
.
The export volume is expected to be close to the historical peak, reaching 530,000 tons
.

 

　　Chile

 

　　Affected by factors such as negative weather and insufficient harvesting labor, Chilean apple output in the 2020/21 season is expected to be approximately 1.
1 million tons, a slight decrease of approximately 19,000 tons year-on-year.
This will also be the country's third consecutive year of decline in apple production
.
Export volume is also expected to drop to 650,000 tons
.

 

　　United States

 

　　With the production cuts in both Washington and Michigan states, the output of U.
S.
apples for the 2020/21 season is expected to be about 4.
5 million tons, with a reduction of about 360,000 tons
.
The export volume will also shrink by about 100,000 tons to about 750,000 tons
.
Compared with the previous season, the import volume will pick up, and it is expected to be about 115,000 tons
.

 

　　Russia

 

　　The output of Russian apples in the 2020/21 season is expected to be about 1.
5 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of about 240,000 tons
.
Imports are also expected to fall back to approximately 615,000 tons
.

 

　　European Union

 

　　The EU’s 2020/21 season of apple production is expected to reach 12 million tons, an increase of about 500,000 tons
.
Both exports and imports are expected to decrease, to approximately 880,000 tons and 460,000 tons, respectively
.

 

　　Turkey

 

　　Turkey will usher in the new year of apples, and production is expected to increase by 700,000 tons to 4.
3 million tons.
This will also be the sixth year of continuous growth in the country's apple production
.
At the same time, the export volume will also increase, and it is expected to increase by 30% year-on-year to 270,000 tons
.
Turkey's apple exports mainly flow into Russia and India
.

 

　　India

 

　　Apple production in India is expected to be reduced to 2.
3 million tons, and the quality of apples will also be affected by the outbreak of apple scab in orchards in Himachal Pradesh
.
Import volume is expected to increase to 285,000 tons
.
Since May 2017, Chinese Apples have been banned from entering the Indian market
.
US apple exports to India will also be subject to a 20% retaliatory tariff
.
At present, more than 20 countries supply apples to India, and the share of Turkish and Afghan apples in the Indian market has grown rapidly in recent years
.

 

　　Mexico

 

　　The output of Mexican apples in the 2020/21 season is expected to be approximately 680,000 tons, a year-on-year decrease of approximately 80,000 tons
.
The inventory of the previous season will lower the import demand this season, and the import volume is expected to be about 250,000 tons
.

 

　　*The 2020/21 apple season of China, the European Union, Turkey, India, and Russia is July 2020-June 2021; the 2020/21 apple season of the United States and Mexico is August 2020-July 2021; Chile, South Africa, New Zealand The 2020/21 apple season is from January 2021 to December 2021
.