Rising planting costs in North China push up corn price expectations

this year's new season corn planting costs in North China production areas continue to rise, will provide cost momentum for the future corn prices upward, and in this year's Northeast near storage of large-scale storage, the Northeast and North China production areas of high-quality corn limited, market effective trade grain supply tightening and other factors under the combined effect of the Northeast and North China corn price shresthofper will gradually begin to releasexZV
With the new season wheat online harvesting team in the main grain-producing area of North China continues to "go north", the new season corn seeding activities in north China have been carried out one after anotherFrom the recent survey of corn cultivation in North China, the corn planting costs in North China this year mainly include seed costs, fertilizer costs, sowing labor and agricultural tools costs, watering costs, drug purchase and medicine costsOverall, although the increase in corn planting costs in the new season in North China this year has slowed from the previous two years, the upward trend continuesxZV
New season corn planting costs have risenxZVseed costs: the price of seeds purchased by farmers in the research area concentrated between 35 to 55 yuan / bag, each bag of seed weight between 3.7 to 4 kg, the average per acre of land needs about 5 pounds of seeds, this year the cost of seeds than last year stable increaseAccording to the interviewee, the current market of various brands of seeds are emerging, and farmers in the actual purchase in addition to listening to advertising, lack of scientific and practical guidance, the risk of buying fake seeds is greaterIn this research, the research area in addition to the traditional Zheng single 958, Single 20, Denghai series are still relatively popular, but also found a lot of other brand seeds, such as Yudan 916, Tiantai 14, auspicious one and so onxZV
Fertilizer cost: In recent years, because of the continuity and persistence of the effect of releasing fertilizer, more and more favored by grain farmers, this year's research area farmers selected fertilizer varieties to control the release of fertilizer, the use of compound fertilizer farmers has been limited, but different regions, different brands control release fertilizer pricedifference is large, basically between 120 to 180 yuan / bag (80 pounds), per acre of land need to apply a bag of controlled release fertilizerIn addition to the application of controlled release fertilizer during the sowing period, some farmers will add part of urea in the long-term corn production, the additional amount is about half a bag, but there are many farmers based on cost reduction considerations, has stopped adding urea xZV
　　Fertilizer costs in the survey area are still rising slightly this year compared with last year xZV
　　Sowing labor and agricultural tools costs: This year's research area in addition to individual small area of land can not use machine operations, the vast majority of plots will use machine seeding, which for farmers to bring convenience at the same time, but also make the cost of planting increased In recent years, the overall increase in human cost, so that grain farmers sowing costs are rising year by year It is understood that this year's research area of the new season corn planting period labor and agricultural tools costs will be mainly concentrated in 20 to 30 yuan / mu, compared with last year's increase is more obvious, but also the largest increase in the cost of planting xZV
　　Watering cost: North China due to perennial water shortage drought weather, irrigation facilities are more developed, irrigation methods mainly include the Yellow River irrigation and pumping groundwater irrigation, and irrigation costs mainly from two aspects, namely, employment of manpower and electricity costs, in this survey learned that there are certain differences in the cost of irrigation, specifically between 10 to 30 yuan / mu, slightly more than last year xZV
　　According to some interviewees, the introduction of the Yellow River for artificial irrigation to the relevant departments to pay a certain fee, specifically for the head-based calculation of 30 to 40 yuan / year per person xZV
　　The cost of buying medicine and medicine: the corn planting period in the research area generally need to play insecticides and herbicides, the number of drugs according to the actual needs of corn growth process, according to the calculation of each type of drug sprayed once a year, the cost of buying drugs and medicines is basically 12 to 15 yuan / mu, slightly more than last year It is understood that the current research area is still more by manual completion, but also for their own personnel operation, few people hired, this cost is more reflected in the cost of buying drugs xZV
　　Comprehensive lying at the specific cost changes in each research area, the following conclusions are drawn: North China's new season corn planting costs have risen steadily, of which the largest increase in labor costs, fertilizer costs second, seed costs steady small and medium-sized increase, medicine and watering costs flat slightly increased Although the overall rate of increase in corn planting costs in the northern Region of China has slowed compared with the past two years, and even saw a slight decline in agricultural prices in some areas, the overall upward price of planting costs continues xZV
　　Planting costs rise or have a boost effect xZV in recent years, with the overall price level rising year by year, farmers planting corn costs show a continuous upward state, high-cost input and relatively low output returns so that some farmers' enthusiasm to grow grain has been hit, from recent years continued to monitor the situation of corn cultivation in North China It is not difficult to find that the main rural land labor force is older, not suitable for migrant workers, young people are less in the domestic farm, more are out to work to earn money to support their families, accordingly, the rural population of agricultural production input attention and energy is also significantly reduced, agricultural production development to a certain extent limited to this xZV
　　The impact of rising planting costs on the corn market is mainly reflected in the driving effect of the increase in corn prices: First, in the face of the year-on-year increase in planting costs, growers will be directly transferred to the cost of rising pressure on the price of grain sales prices, hard work for a year, farmers in the autumn harvest and sale of grain will certainly consider to ensure a certain income as a prerequisite for pricing grain, which will make the increase in the cost of planting directly reflected in the end-price corn xZV
　　Secondly, in the case of increasing the cost of corn cultivation of farmers, the state based on the protection of farmers' enthusiasm for planting, stability of domestic food supply considerations, in providing planting subsidies for grain farmers at the same time, but also increase the purchase price of the pro-storage, while in the corn market, the purchase price has been regarded as the bottom price, its year-on-year increase also makes the bottom of domestic corn prices continue to rise xZV
　　Third, grain as a commodity, its price rise will drive a series of downstream and related products prices, and ultimately push up social prices as a whole, and in turn push up the cost of grain and agricultural cultivation, pushup corn prices, the formation of repeated cycles xZV the continued rise in corn planting costs in the new season in the north-east of China, will provide cost momentum for the upmarket corn prices in the future, and in this year's Northeast near storage of large-scale storage, the Northeast and North China region of high-quality corn limited, the market effective trade grain supply tightening and other factors under the co-effect, the Northeast and North China corn price shing will gradually begin to release xZV
　　With the new season wheat online harvesting team in the main grain-producing area of North China continues to "go north", the new season corn seeding activities in north China have been carried out one after another From the recent survey of corn cultivation in North China, the corn planting costs in North China this year mainly include seed costs, fertilizer costs, sowing labor and agricultural tools costs, watering costs, drug purchase and medicine costs Overall, although the increase in corn planting costs in the new season in North China this year has slowed from the previous two years, the upward trend continues xZV
　　New season corn planting costs have risen xZV seed costs: the price of seeds purchased by farmers in the research area concentrated between 35 to 55 yuan / bag, each bag of seed weight between 3.7 to 4 kg, the average per acre of land needs about 5 pounds of seeds, this year the cost of seeds than last year stable increase According to the interviewee, the current market of various brands of seeds are emerging, and farmers in the actual purchase in addition to listening to advertising, lack of scientific and practical guidance, the risk of buying fake seeds is greater In this research, the research area in addition to the traditional Zheng single 958, Single 20, Denghai series are still relatively popular, but also found a lot of other brand seeds, such as Yudan 916, Tiantai 14, auspicious one and so on xZV
　　Fertilizer cost: In recent years, because of the continuity and persistence of the effect of releasing fertilizer, more and more favored by grain farmers, this year's research area farmers selected fertilizer varieties to control the release of fertilizer, the use of compound fertilizer farmers has been limited, but different regions, different brands control release fertilizer pricedifference is large, basically between 120 to 180 yuan / bag (80 pounds), per acre of land need to apply a bag of controlled release fertilizer In addition to the application of controlled release fertilizer during the sowing period, some farmers will add part of urea in the long-term corn production, the additional amount is about half a bag, but there are many farmers based on cost reduction considerations, has stopped adding urea xZV
　　Fertilizer costs in the survey area are still rising slightly this year compared with last year xZV
　　Sowing labor and agricultural tools costs: This year's research area in addition to individual small area of land can not use machine operations, the vast majority of plots will use machine seeding, which for farmers to bring convenience at the same time, but also make the cost of planting increased In recent years, the overall increase in human cost, so that grain farmers sowing costs are rising year by year It is understood that this year's research area of the new season corn planting period labor and agricultural tools costs will be mainly concentrated in 20 to 30 yuan / mu, compared with last year's increase is more obvious, but also the largest increase in the cost of planting xZV
　　Watering cost: North China due to perennial water shortage drought weather, irrigation facilities are more developed, irrigation methods mainly include the Yellow River irrigation and pumping groundwater irrigation, and irrigation costs mainly from two aspects, namely, employment of manpower and electricity costs, in this survey learned that there are certain differences in the cost of irrigation, specifically between 10 to 30 yuan / mu, slightly more than last year xZV
　　According to some interviewees, the introduction of the Yellow River for artificial irrigation to the relevant departments to pay a certain fee, specifically for the head-based calculation of 30 to 40 yuan / year per person xZV
　　The cost of buying medicine and medicine: the corn planting period in the research area generally need to play insecticides and herbicides, the number of drugs according to the actual needs of corn growth process, according to the calculation of each type of drug sprayed once a year, the cost of buying drugs and medicines is basically 12 to 15 yuan / mu, slightly more than last year It is understood that the current research area is still more by manual completion, but also for their own personnel operation, few people hired, this cost is more reflected in the cost of buying drugs xZV
　　Comprehensive lying at the specific cost changes in each research area, the following conclusions are drawn: North China's new season corn planting costs have risen steadily, of which the largest increase in labor costs, fertilizer costs second, seed costs steady small and medium-sized increase, medicine and watering costs flat slightly increased Although the overall rate of increase in corn planting costs in the northern Region of China has slowed compared with the past two years, and even saw a slight decline in agricultural prices in some areas, the overall upward price of planting costs continues xZV
　　Planting costs rise or have a boost effect xZV in recent years, with the overall price level rising year by year, farmers planting corn costs show a continuous upward state, high-cost input and relatively low output returns so that some farmers' enthusiasm to grow grain has been hit, from recent years continued to monitor the situation of corn cultivation in North China It is not difficult to find that the main rural land labor force is older, not suitable for migrant workers, young people are less in the domestic farm, more are out to work to earn money to support their families, accordingly, the rural population of agricultural production input attention and energy is also significantly reduced, agricultural production development to a certain extent limited to this xZV
　　The impact of rising planting costs on the corn market is mainly reflected in the driving effect of the increase in corn prices: First, in the face of the year-on-year increase in planting costs, growers will be directly transferred to the cost of rising pressure on the price of grain sales prices, hard work for a year, farmers in the autumn harvest and sale of grain will certainly consider to ensure a certain income as a prerequisite for pricing grain, which will make the increase in the cost of planting directly reflected in the end-price corn xZV
　　Secondly, in the case of increasing the cost of corn cultivation of farmers, the state based on the protection of farmers' enthusiasm for planting, stability of domestic food supply considerations, in providing planting subsidies for grain farmers at the same time, but also increase the purchase price of the pro-storage, while in the corn market, the purchase price has been regarded as the bottom price, its year-on-year increase also makes the bottom of domestic corn prices continue to rise xZV
　　Third, grain as a commodity, its price rise will drive a series of downstream and related products prices, and ultimately push up social prices as a whole, and in turn push up the cost of grain and agricultural cultivation, pushup corn prices, the formation of repeated cycles xZV